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Monday February 18, 2008 at 2:34 pm
Winter Storm Chances


There are 3 opportunities for significant snow or ice between now and the end of the month.

 

The first chance comes Wednesday morning (2/20), as a weak storm moves in from the northwest.  It looks like the temperatures will be low enough to support snow, but when these systems come from the northwest, they are quite moisture starved by the time they arrive.  So even though some snow showers are a distinct possibility, an accumulating snow is not likely.

 

The second storm comes in the window between Friday morning (2/22) and Saturday morning.  There are some big conflicting signs with this storm as to what the ultimate precipitation type will be and how much will actually fall.  The early guess is that we will have some ice, then see a change to rain long before the precipitation comes to an end.  However, confidence is very low with this system, as most of our significant snow storms come as the center of low pressure tracks to our south and this is the way many of the computer simulations are portraying the storm track Monday morning.

 

The third storm comes along about Wednesday of next week (2/27).  When we look at storms that far in advance, the particulars are nearly impossible to determine, however, the storm's center looks as if it will go by just to our west, suggesting light ice quickly changing over to rain.

 

Sean Sublette

Meteorologist

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